The provisional GDP growth is estimated at 4.14 per cent in FY2026, compared with the actual growth rate of 3.49 per cent in FY2025, indicating a gradual recovery in economic activity. NBR tax collection reached 72.27 per cent of the annual target of BDT 499,000 crore during July-May FY2026, representing an increase of BDT 32,856 crore compared to the corresponding period of the previous year. Export performance remained weak during July–May FY2026, registering a negative year-on-year growth of 2.55 per cent. Export earnings also declined in May 2026, falling by 7.07 per cent year-on-year to USD 4.40 billion. Headline inflation increased to 8.63 per cent in May 2026, while food inflation also rose to 7.96 per cent. The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio increased to 32.26 per cent in March 2026 from 30.60 per cent in December 2025, indicating a further deterioration in asset quality in the banking sector. 

Author: Md. Imran Nazir, Programme Associate, CPD 
Series Editor: Dr Fahmida Khatun, Executive Director, CPD

Publication Period: June 2026